RAILA AND KALONZO...THE FALLOUT

RAILA AND KALONZO...THE FALLOUT

The more things change, the more they remain the same...
It has been said...
that raila cannot be trusted, that raila is powerhungry, that raila is out to wreck havoc in the kibaki adminstration, that raila is out to grab power via the back door...i could go on.
my point being as follows..

Recently, kalonzo musyoka was forced to come to terms with the real raila.
the two erstwhile comrades are on the verge of going their separate ways following the disagreement on how to nominate the ldp presidential candidate.
Raila is said to favour a delegate system while kalonzo favours a membership system.
For obvious reasons, Raila knows he cannot win the nomination were a membership system adopted. likewise, kalonzo is aware that he cannot win were a delegate system adopted.
therefore these two are likely to fallout and go their separate ways.
This will be end of ODM. The LDP will ofcourse survive with Raila in charge.

In as much as i rile at Agwambo, I must hasten to add that he indeed is
a "successful" politician. His sole goal has always been to achieve power and authority. Forget about all that bull crap of ati sijui to "serve my country"
As a politician , his only goal is to ascend to power and glory - the rest comes later.
he will use whatever means to achieve his ambition. No one can fault him for that, besides thats
why one gets into politics in the first place.
Poor Kalonzo, he has been fed with a falsebelief of his divine right to the presidency.
armed with a poll of some 2000 unknown fellas, he is suddenly behaving like the presidency was (not is..) his by birth right! he is in for a real shocker!
He is bound to be betrayed by raila.
It used to be said that former pres. moi was really notorious for
using and discarding people. But i think raila is by far the worst in this!! he is playing ruto, mudavadi and kalonzo in his devious schemes. once again his political shrewdity must be applauded. Yenyewe the guy has "IT" politically. And this is why many a politician are awed and irked by raila. His brand of politics is basically crude but effective!!!... yea...i hate to admit that.

Kalonzo had better bolt now while still under his supposed presidential illusion. Yani the dude is in to this steadman poll so much, that one would be forgiven for thinking he commissioned it!! Kenyans are tribal! all that crap of national outlook, bla bla bla..is just
but a ruse. deep down we will always vote "our man"
by the way, who said its bad to vote for a leader from one's tribe?
anyway, kalonzo's is just but a dream if not an illusion.
The reason i call it an illusion, is as i have put it before, tribe.
There is no use arguing, but we kenyans are tribal. Even if kalonzo marshals all the available kamba votes,he will amount to nothing as long he is unable to secure a sizeable chunk of votes
from the main tribes. This explains his many forays into rift valley lately.
Going by the current trends, what would the outcome be?
If he falls out with raila,he will lose the luo vote(and by extension, nyanza) ruto and moi will deny him the kalenjin (and by extension rift valley) vote western will definetly stand by mudavadi (kombo is basically a non-starter!!) hence he willmiss on the luhya (hence western) vote. let me not even delve into the kikuyu (and central) vote. its pretty obvious.

What options does kalonzo have?
In my opinion, he got only one.... to form his own party. he cannot join Narc-K or any other existing party. Sadly though, this will be the end of his presidential ambition, for he will be reduced to tribal chief!!
In the end, raila will have unwittingly facilitated Kibaki's re-election!! I guess his blind and selfish ambition will ultimately lead to the failure of ODM/LDP and to KIbaki's re-election.



I started by labeling raila. Let me back the labels with some observations..
Kibaki despite his shortcomings is actually a working leader. Look around and please not at the politics....
1.roads are being repaired. (proof...as u go home in the evening, the jam as a result) 2.corrupt fat cats are being brought to book. 3.there are actually no sacred cows..remember murungaru, kiraitu, and now mullei. 4.kenyans are actually sharing in the wealth of the nation...kengen IPO, KCB/Uchumi rights issue. 5.the govt is listening to its people.....we all know dr mutua despite his goofs. everyday a minister or two is grilled by the media or a watchdog committee of some sort! 6.remember free primary education? 7.kenyans can now "mock" or "insult" their president and actually spend no single second in nyati or nyayo house!! 8.politico-hotheads i.e raila and his ilk can talk of coups, subversion, mercenaries etc with utter disdain and disregard of the law and walk free. 9.all wannabe tribal chiefs actually stake their claim to presidency with no fear or respect to the incumbent while elections are ages away. 10.you can actully sue the govt and win hence force the govt to rescind a decision!...remember alcoblow?? and now the contoversial ETRs?? 11.KBC is actually broadcasting any negative report on the govt!! 12.famine relief is being used for the correct purpose, not as an election bribe!! 13.no country in africa (and maybe the world) can boast of the freedoms (especially expression...hmmm blogging is evidence enough) we enjoy, thanx to our laid back president and political system!! 14.anybody can register whichever political party they chose...remember new kanu, odm, narc-k?? 15.free media...contestable? yes because of the standard fiasco, but in general our so called media practioners have never been this bold. i mean ,they are summoning govt officials at the flimfiest of excuses!! 16.finally the govt has been completing all those dead "whit elephants" Yani projects which stalled 20 years ago are being completed!!

Indeed there are lots of misdeeds and letdowns by kibaki's govt. But atleast there is some shred of evidence that actually his government is working!! only a fool can chose not to look at the whole picture.
I have never been a big fan of Kibaki neither am i a kibaki apologist or sycophant. Granted, the man has his flaws but he has and can deliver !
what makes raila and his ilk think that the odm brigade will suddenly transform this country's fortunes?
If they could not perform in their ministries, what makes them think they will be able to match or even better what kibaki has done?

I can boldly state that in the short period he has been in power, kibaki has achieved alot more than moi ever did in his 24 years!!!
The ODM is simply playing politics. they know that once kenyans begin to notice the little good things about kibaki's govt, then they are doomed!!